Bayesian Computation and the Linear Model
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper is a review of computational strategies for Bayesian shrinkage and variable selection in the linear model. Our focus is less on traditional MCMC methods, which are covered in depth by earlier review papers. Instead, we focus more on recent innovations in stochastic search and adaptive MCMC, along with some comparatively new research on shrinkage priors. One of our conclusions is that true MCMC seems inferior to stochastic search if one’s goal is to discover good models, but that stochastic search can result in biased estimates of variable inclusion probabilities. We also find reasons to question the accuracy of inclusion probabilities generated by traditional MCMC on high-dimensional, nonorthogonal problems, though the matter is far from settled. Some key words: adaptive MCMC; linear models; shrinkage priors; stochastic search; variable selection
منابع مشابه
Spatial count models on the number of unhealthy days in Tehran
Spatial count data is usually found in most sciences such as environmental science, meteorology, geology and medicine. Spatial generalized linear models based on poisson (poisson-lognormal spatial model) and binomial (binomial-logitnormal spatial model) distributions are often used to analyze discrete count data in which spatial correlation is observed. The likelihood function of these models i...
متن کاملBayesian Inference for Spatial Beta Generalized Linear Mixed Models
In some applications, the response variable assumes values in the unit interval. The standard linear regression model is not appropriate for modelling this type of data because the normality assumption is not met. Alternatively, the beta regression model has been introduced to analyze such observations. A beta distribution represents a flexible density family on (0, 1) interval that covers symm...
متن کاملLoad-Frequency Control: a GA based Bayesian Networks Multi-agent System
Bayesian Networks (BN) provides a robust probabilistic method of reasoning under uncertainty. They have been successfully applied in a variety of real-world tasks but they have received little attention in the area of load-frequency control (LFC). In practice, LFC systems use proportional-integral controllers. However since these controllers are designed using a linear model, the nonlinearities...
متن کاملInflation Behavior in Top Sukuk Issuing Countries: Using a Bayesian Log-linear Model
This paper focused on developing a model to study the effect of sukuk issuance on the inflation rate in top sukuk issuing Islamic economies at 2014. For this purpose, as the available sample size is small, a Bayesian approach to regression model is used which contains key supply and demand side factors in addition to the outstanding sukuk volume as potential determinants of inflation rate...
متن کاملComparison of Kullback-Leibler, Hellinger and LINEX with Quadratic Loss Function in Bayesian Dynamic Linear Models: Forecasting of Real Price of Oil
In this paper we intend to examine the application of Kullback-Leibler, Hellinger and LINEX loss function in Dynamic Linear Model using the real price of oil for 106 years of data from 1913 to 2018 concerning the asymmetric problem in filtering and forecasting. We use DLM form of the basic Hoteling Model under Quadratic loss function, Kullback-Leibler, Hellinger and LINEX trying to address the ...
متن کاملBayesian paradigm for analysing count data in longitudina studies using Poisson-generalized log-gamma model
In analyzing longitudinal data with counted responses, normal distribution is usually used for distribution of the random efffects. However, in some applications random effects may not be normally distributed. Misspecification of this distribution may cause reduction of efficiency of estimators. In this paper, a generalized log-gamma distribution is used for the random effects which includes th...
متن کامل